The past financial year saw a roller coaster ride for investors. Share markets plunged into Christmas only to rebound over the last six months. This note reviews the last financial year and takes a look at the investment outlook for 2019-20.
Rental payments can make a real dent in your bottom line so it’s a good idea to find a balance between location and lifestyle
Australian growth is likely to be weak over the next year or so and this will prompt further monetary easing and fiscal stimulus. > However, several positives suggest recession is unlikely: the current account deficit has collapsed; the $A helps stabilise the economy; the drag from falling mining investment is over; there is scope for extra fiscal stimulus; infrastructure spending is booming; there has been no sign of panic property selling; economic policy remains sensible; population growth remains strong; and the RBA can still do more.
The Australian dollar likely faces more downside as Australian growth is weaker than US growth and the RBA is likely to stimulate more than the Fed. However, downside may be limited to around $US0.65 given that the $A has already had a large fall, short positions in the $A are large, the iron ore price remains high (for now) and the Fed is also heading towards rate cuts. Given the downside risks for the $A and that being short the $A is a good hedge against threats to the global outlook it still makes sense for Australian investors to maintain a decent exposure to foreign currency via unhedged global investments.
there is always a cycle; the crowd gets it wrong at extremes; what you pay for an investment matters a lot; getting markets right is not as easy as you think; investment markets don’t learn; compound interest applied to investments is like magic; it pays to be optimistic; keep it simple; and you need to know yourself to succeed at investing.
Key points The RBA’s latest rate cut is aimed at heading off a further slowing in growth which would threaten higher unemployment and lower for longer inflation. Cutting the inflation target would be a big mistake. More rate cuts are likely to be needed ultimately taking the cash rate to a low of 0.5% next year. Ideally this will be combined with more fiscal stimulus. For investors it means low interest rates for even longer.
The Liberal-National Coalition has retained power in Australia’s Federal election. Find out what it means from an economic perspective. Learn more with AMP Capital.
The negatives weighing on Australian residential property prices remain significant but the past few weeks have seen a number of developments...
If you’re relocating to a new city, it’s a good idea to do your homework about living costs…particularly if it’s Sydney.
The trade war is back – what went wrong, what it means for share markets and Australia | AMP Capital
The trade war between the US and China has returned after talks to resolve their trade differences broke down...
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Seasonal patterns typically see shares do well from around November to May and not so well from May to November...
Surprisingly weak Australian inflation has led to expectations the Reserve Bank will soon cut rates...
Australian elections tend to result in a period of uncertainty which have seen weak gains on average for shares followed by a bounce once it’s out of the way...
The 2019-20 Budget “delivers” the long-awaited surplus and increased fiscal stimulus mainly via tax cuts/offsets...
Find out how the measures announced in the 2019-20 Federal Budget could affect you Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has handed down the Morrison Government’s first Federal Budget. Among the proposed changes were personal income tax cuts and changes to super rules. Read on for a round-up of the proposals put forward and a look at how they might affect your household expenses and financial future, whatever your stage of life.
Now you can put more into super at the concessional rate of tax, starting from the 2019-20 financial year.
The past week has seen a renewed intensification of concerns about global growth. Bond yields have plunged and associated growth worries have weighed on share markets...
Working out your risk profile is the first step towards developing a diversified investment portfolio
Growing support for higher taxes on the rich and greater government intervention in the economy suggest median voters have shifted to the left...
Dividends are great for investors. They augur well for earnings growth, provide a degree of security in uncertain times, are likely to comprise a relatively high proportion of returns going forward and provide a relatively stable source of income...
While nearly nine in 10 say they have a preference, less than five in 10 have discussed their wishes with their family. What about you?
Successful investing should be simple but increasing rules, regulations, choices and social media are making it anything but. At its core, it is still simple though...
AMP Capital's Chief Economist Shane Oliver gives his forecast for house prices, economic growth and interest rates.
While you’ve still got time on your side, check out this list of things to think about, so you can hopefully continue the party in retirement.
Australian home prices are likely to fall another 5-10% this year driven by a further 15% or so fall in Sydney & Melbourne. Tight credit, rising supply and falling price expectations are the main negatives...
Despite continued volatility, 2019 is likely to be better for diversified investors than 2018 was...
The Fed has raised interest rates for the ninth time since first raising rates this cycle three years ago, taking the Fed Funds rate from a range of 2-2.25% to 2.25-2.5% reflecting ongoing confidence in US growth...
If your SMSF contains residential investment properties, it’s understandable you could be feeling nervous...
In the current economic environment many companies are finding it difficult to grow earnings organically so they are turning to acquisitions more frequently...
Under the First Home Super Saver Scheme, individuals (who've never owned a home) are accessing a portion of their super savings to do so. First home buyers have withdrawn more than $5 million from superannuation funds1 across the board under a federal government scheme designed to make housing more affordable. Townsends Business and Corporate Lawyers special counsel Michael Hallinan said he was surprised there had been such significant uptake in the scheme's first few months of operation. This was because there seemed to have been too little time to accumulate sufficient eligible contributions to make accessing the scheme – which can only be done once – worthwhile. The First Home Super Saver scheme has been up and running since July 1 this year.
> The pullback in shares could still have further to go but a deep (grizzly) bear market is unlikely as US, global or Australian recession are unlikely. > Increasing US Federal Reserve openness to a pause in raising rates, the likelihood of a US/China trade deal sometime in the next six months and the plunge in oil prices all add to confidence that a grizzly bear market is unlikely.
> Getting your personal finances right can be a challenge. Here are 13 tips that may be of use: shop around when it comes to financial services; don’t take on too much debt; allow that interest rates can go up as well as down; allow for rainy days; credit cards are great but they deserve respect; use your mortgage (if you can) for all longer term debt; start saving and investing early; allow that asset prices go up and down; try and see financial events in their longer-term context; know your risk tolerance; make the most of the Mum and Dad bank; be wary of the crowd; and there is no free lunch...
October was a bad month for shares with global shares losing 6.8% in local currency terms and Australian shares losing 6.1%. It’s possible that following top to bottom falls of 9% for global shares, 11% for Australian shares, 21% in emerging markets and even 31% in Chinese shares we have now seen the low in the share market rout...
We check out the three largest contributors to household spending in Australia and where people would source cash if living expenses increased. Find out more with AMP.
Some commentators claim shares are way overvalued and so a crash is inevitable...
Dr Shane Oliver explains what investors should keep in mind.
Sharp market falls with headlines screaming that billions of dollars have been wiped off the share market (funny that you never see the same headlines on the way up!) are stressful for investors as no one likes to see the value of their investments decline. However, several things are worth bearing in mind...
The first strategy is to always pay more than the minimum.
A surge in financial information and opinion combined with our inclination to focus on negative news risks making us worse investors: more fearful, more jittery, more reactive, less reflective & more short term. This is potentially harmful to our long-term financial health.
The period August to October is a time for anniversaries of financial market crises – the 1929 share crash, the 1974 bear market low, the 1987 share crash, the Emerging market/LTCM crisis in 1998, and of course the worst of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008...
Which of these money mistakes sound all too familiar when it comes to you and your squad? Find out more with AMP.
For years now, many have told us that Australia is heading for an imminent recession. By contrast official forecasts have long been looking for several years of above trend growth. In the event neither has happened and we don’t see them happening anytime soon. Against this backdrop there are five things you should know about the Australian economy...
The past five years have seen pretty good returns for well-diversified investors. While cash and bond returns have been modest, growth assets have been strong. Average balance growth superannuation funds have returned 8.5% pa over the five years to June and that’s after fees and taxes. This is particularly impressive given that inflation has been around 2%.
For the last two calendar years the Australian dollar has defied our expectations for weakness. But after hitting $US0.81 in January it’s been trending down as US interest rates fell below the Australian cash rate, the threat of a US-driven trade war increased and it recently broke below a short-term range around $US0.74 and fell as low as $US0.72 on fears of contagion to global growth from a crisis in Turkey.
More than one in five Australian’s in their mid 20s still live at home. Find out why and learn more with AMP.
Since Donald Trump was elected President back on November 8, 2016 we have focussed on whether we will see Trump the rabble-rousing populist or Trump the business-friendly pragmatist. Despite lots of noise – particularly via Trump’s frequent tweets – for the most part Trump the pragmatist has dominated so far. But we have clearly seen a swing to Trump the populist this year – raising risks for investors.
This list of common money personalities could shed light on how you and those around you measure up. Find out more with AMP.
Find out what lender's mortgage insurance is and how it could affect your home loan and what you pay back. AMP explains in simple terms.
AMP Tomorrow Maker Sam Marwood and friends are matching retiring farmers with those wanting to work the land but lack the financial means.
Eligible first home buyers can now withdraw certain voluntary super contributions to put toward a home deposit. Find out more with AMP.
Aussies aged 65 and over can now top up their super with the proceeds from the sale of their main residence. Learn more about downsizing for retirement with AMP.
Choosing the right super investment options at the right time could make a difference to how much money you have when you retire. Find out more with AMP.
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If you file for divorce, or separate from your de facto, who gets to keep the superannuation money? Discover more about superannuation and divorce today with AMP.
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See what you need to know about claiming work-related expenses and don’t forget to lodge your tax return by 31 October, unless you’re using a tax agent.
Here’s a roundup of some of the key 2018-19 Federal Budget announcements, and analysis of how the budget proposals might affect you. Learn more with AMP.
How much super should I have at my age? If you’re wondering whether your super is on track, compare it to others your age. Learn more today with AMP.
With comprehensive credit reporting due to kick off from 1 July 2018, paying your bills on time will become even more important.
This financial year is the first time employees can claim a tax deduction for their personal super contributions. Find out more with AMP.
Everyone is different, so it’s important to ask yourself the right questions as the cover you require will depend on multiple factors.
We generally need to make earnings from 40 to 50 years in the workforce extend across what could be 80 to 90 years of living.
Raising kids can be an expensive business, so make sure you’re informed. What is the cost of raising a child in Australia? Discover more today with AMP.
Get your finances sorted for the new financial year AMP gives you tips for getting ready.
Changes aimed at improving housing affordability have passed through parliament. Find out more with AMP.
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If you’re wondering whether super is improving retirement outcomes for Australians, AMP takes a look at some of the findings.
If you can’t decide between a fixed or variable rate home loan, a split home loan could provide the best of both worlds. Discover the benefits with AMP.
The recent share pullback has seen much coverage and generated much concern. Dr Shane Oliver offers seven considerations for investors.
Investment bonds (also known as insurance or growth bonds) can be a tax-effective way to invest and save for the future. Find out more with AMP.
Achieving financial independence doesn’t have to be complex. Five commonsense steps could help you enjoy the life you want to lead.
Investing your super in an ethical way is a growing trend in Australia. Learn more about responsible and ethical super investment with AMP.
Get up to speed with the government subsidies you may be able to access before the kids go back to school. Browse by state and territory allowances.
Most Australians indicate their biggest life goal is a financial one, but many admit failing to plan is a roadblock.
A survey has revealed that around 90% of Aussies make impulse purchases. Find out how you can make your money go further with AMP.
Looking for a cheap holiday destination that won’t break the bank? Discover some of the best options both at home and abroad. Learn more today with AMP.
Find out where and what retirees are investing and spending their superannuation money on, and how you can use your super money today.
AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver shares 5 reasons why the Australian property market is more complicated than the crash calls suggest.
Estate planning is about more than just making a will. Learn how to make sure you and your money are well looked after later in life.
Are you feeling the pinch? There are a couple of key principles you can follow to help improve your financial situation.
Discover the many ways that you can boost your superannuation and reap the rewards in retirement. Learn more with AMP today.
Find out ways to help you boost your cash flow and avoid debt in retirement.
Increased life expectancy means more Aussies will need to retire later in life. Find out about the implications of this and the considerations you may need to make.
The best ways to sustain your physical, mental and financial wellbeing are sometimes the simplest. Discover five key tips to happy and healthy ageing.
Find out what lies ahead for the spring property market for first home buyers and upgraders from AMP Capital economist, Diana Mousina.
There are several questions people have about insurance. See what they are and what you can do! – AMP
See why more Aussies are choosing to live with their parents for longer.
An annuity provides you with a guaranteed income in retirement, regardless of how markets perform. Check out the pros and cons.
You’ve made an offer on your first property, but you’re not home and hosed yet. Find out what you can expect in the final weeks before settlement.
If you’re looking to turn your gap year into something employers will value, check out these five things worth taking note of.
Don't know whether to rent or buy a home? Check out the latest economic outlook to help you understand the benefits and downsides of both options.
If you’re wondering whether your super is on track, compare it to others your age.
Depending on your situation, there may be pros and cons to clearing your student debt before you have to. Here’s what you need to know!
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If you or someone you know has recently been made redundant, check out our 5-point action plan for what to do next.
The Australian retail environment remains in a tough position due to factors weighing on consumer demand along with discounting pressures from competitors.
The price of childcare may be a deterrent to working, but loss of income, super and other benefits may cost more.
Taking out a mortgage together means commitment and compromise. Find out what you and your partner should consider early on.
Many Australians, in particular low-income earners, are set to benefit from the latest superannuation changes. See how new rules could impact you.
Is growth still in the forecast for the new financial year? Shane Oliver reveals his predictions
Economic abuse is recognised as a form of domestic violence in many, but not all, Australian states.
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